#ukrainewar #ukrainewarupdate #military #militarydevelopments #militarystrategy Ukraine’s deep‑strike playbook is forcing Russia’s logistics into triage. Overnight fires at Lukoil’s Volgograd refinery, a Druzhba pump‑station hit that suspended flows to Hungary and Slovakia, and a strike disrupting the Liski/Voronezh rail hub combined into the same picture: fuel shortfalls, schedule slippage, and rising costs. Add repeat hits on Rostov’s Novoshakhtinsk and fresh outages at Rosneft’s Syzran/Novokuibyshevsk, and Russia’s offline refining capacity climbs just as wholesale gasoline spikes push regulators toward export curbs. Rail is the volume mover for diesel and ammo; when single‑track chokepoints stall, convoys must detour onto slower, more visible roads. Pipelines aren’t safe either—Druzhba’s brief halt exposed Europe’s risk math and Moscow’s fragility. The strategy here is cost asymmetry: low‑cost UAVs and precise timing that keep repair crews under threat and logistics off‑rhythm. Result: fewer sorties, thinner stockpiles in Crimea’s corridor, and a war economy that grinds instead of rolls.
